Galbraith: "No Return to Normal" - Forget the Banks, Bring on the New Deal (X.) by X.

The prominent liberal economist James K Galbraith just published an essay titled No Return to Normal in the Washington Monthly in which he unambiguously argues that the scale of the current financial crisis will radically transform the capitalist economic system for the foreseeable future. Galbraith argues that the banking system, no matter how much cash it is handed over by the Feds, cannot and will not provide consumer credit since consumers are already mired in debt that they cannot repay with their current level of income.

Galbraith, a Keynesian capitalist (i.e. he believes that capitalism is the best available economic system but that it requires strong government intervention to remain "stable") of course does not consider either of the two principal revolutionary democratic proposals to address that fundamental problem: 1) Forgive the debt (which revolutionaries can help bring about by building a nationwide debtors' union) and increase workers' share of the wealth they produce at the expense of the capitalists (which revolutionaries can help bring about by encouraging workers to struggle for democratic governance and a share of the profits at their companies, or even better, developing cooperative businesses jointly-owned and operated by the workers). Like the conservative economists crying "let them eat bread", Galbraith only considers the possibility of people massively reducing their consumption and increasing their savings. As a liberal Keynesian economist, he worries about people's welfare however and thus recommends a fairly radical New Deal plan that should give us a sense of how far we can push the Obama administration to provide resources that could be channeled to build dual power. Check out this excerpt:

"That being so, what must now be done? The first thing we need, in the wake of the recovery bill, is more recovery bills. The next efforts should be larger, reflecting the true scale of the emergency. There should be open-ended support for state and local governments, public utilities, transit authorities, public hospitals, schools, and universities for the duration, and generous support for public capital investment in the short and long term. To the extent possible, all the resources being released from the private residential and commercial construction industries should be absorbed into public building projects. There should be comprehensive foreclosure relief, through a moratorium followed by restructuring or by conversion-to-rental, except in cases of speculative investment and borrower fraud. The president’s foreclosure-prevention plan is a useful step to relieve mortgage burdens on at-risk households, but it will not stop the downward spiral of home prices and correct the chronic oversupply of housing that is the cause of that.

Second, we should offset the violent drop in the wealth of the elderly population as a whole. The squeeze on the elderly has been little noted so far, but it hits in three separate ways: through the fall in the stock market; through the collapse of home values; and through the drop in interest rates, which reduces interest income on accumulated cash. For an increasing number of the elderly, Social Security and Medicare wealth are all they have.

That means that the entitlement reformers have it backward: instead of cutting Social Security benefits, we should increase them, especially for those at the bottom of the benefit scale. Indeed, in this crisis, precisely because it is universal and efficient, Social Security is an economic recovery ace in the hole. Increasing benefits is a simple, direct, progressive, and highly efficient way to prevent poverty and sustain purchasing power for this vulnerable population. I would also argue for lowering the age of eligibility for Medicare to (say) fifty-five, to permit workers to retire earlier and to free firms from the burden of managing health plans for older workers.

This suggestion is meant, in part, to call attention to the madness of talk about Social Security and Medicare cuts. The prospect of future cuts in this modest but vital source of retirement security can only prompt worried prime-age workers to spend less and save more today. And that will make the present economic crisis deeper. In reality, there is no Social Security "financing problem" at all. There is a health care problem, but that can be dealt with only by deciding what health services to provide, and how to pay for them, for the whole population. It cannot be dealt with, responsibly or ethically, by cutting care for the old.

Third, we will soon need a jobs program to put the unemployed to work quickly. Infrastructure spending can help, but major building projects can take years to gear up, and they can, for the most part, provide jobs only for those who have the requisite skills. So the federal government should sponsor projects that employ people to do what they do best, including art, letters, drama, dance, music, scientific research, teaching, conservation, and the nonprofit sector, including community organizing—why not?

Finally, a payroll tax holiday would help restore the purchasing power of working families, as well as make it easier for employers to keep them on the payroll. This is a particularly potent suggestion, because it is large and immediate. And if growth resumes rapidly, it can also be scaled back. There is no error in doing too much that cannot easily be repaired, by doing a bit less."

The whole article is worth reading, find it here.